Is there any drawback or benefit from a ‘winning’ perspective to having say 50 separate “setups” farming 100 plots each vs 1 farming 5000? I have mine all spread out and have been having awful luck with winning and am trying to figure out why. Thanks.

It should be the same, statistically.

I guess this is the same as saying shall I buy 5000 different lottery tickets from one shop or 500 in 10 different shops but using the same numbers.

Is that a good analagy?

I see this as being a massive lottery - at the start anyway.

What I can’t work out is where the value of XCH comes from. Economically that’s just from its demand and as the amount of coins dispensed lowers over time, which I think it does, ‘minted’ coins then start to have a bigger value.

You then convert your local currency, at an exchange rate to XCH and then hold or sell it - kinda like buying gold bullion.

I’m in it as I like messing with techy stuff. Anyway, I digress.

Think lottery tickets or bingo cards.

Just thinking about syncing the Blockchain on one farmer or ten. If it falls out of sync on the one holing 5000 plots then your out the game right? Ten individual ones would build done sort of redundancy right?

Single point of failure is definitely something to keep in mind here. There are many ways a system can fail. Maybe even ur watchers dont even notice, theres a problem.

Having responsetimes not go up after increasing plots, might also be something, not every system is able to.

But the main question is, if having multiple nodes on different locations is helpful in a decentralized network.

I have a feeling, it could.

If you’re running multiple full nodes off of the same router, you could run into some serious issues with traffic not getting routed properly. You should run a single full node and use the harvester protocol on the rest of your machines.

this is a datacenter setup so every server has its own external up address, no NAT

makes sense. just don’t understand how i could possibly have not hit on one yet at this point. extremely unlucky. 5500 plots adding 600ish a day.

Total net space is currently 12.8 EiB. Your 5500 plots is approx 505,000 GiB

Using base 1024.

505,000GiB = 493TiB = 0.48PiB = 0.00047EiB

So currently your chance of winning is 0.00047÷12.8x100 = 0.0037%

Approx 1/272

1/365 would be once a year, so better odds than that, hence around 9 months.

Adding 600 plots increases your chances of winning by 0.00044%

I think.

that kinda assumes one winner a day by that math doesn’t it?

it does. Theres 4608 (don’t quote me on that) chances per day of winning which i think reduces to 2 in 12 years, again i think - its been a long week.

Your odds are still 0.0037% but that happens every 19 seconds or so.

As per my tossing a coin example, just because you have flipped 4 heads in a row, it must be tails next throw. The Gamber’s fallacy.

Couple problems with the math. 0.003679% is actually 1 in 27,234. That gives the odds against winning any individual block, not a daily percentage. There’s ~4608 chances per day to win, so the average win would occur after 5.91 days.

However, empirically speaking, I’ve gone 5x the expected win time on a couple of particularly bad dry spells, so you could need a month to win. Or more. There are no guarantees. Gambler’s fallacy and all that.

You sir are correct. I forgot about the 2 decimal places for the percentage.

I think I was just trying to say, it’s a game of chance.

Enjoy your weekend.