The top 5 Chia farmers own just over 50% of total storage, somewhere around 9,000 PiB:
||3,839 (38.39%) (6,912.37 PiB)
||872 (8.72%) (1,570.09 PiB)
||152 (1.52%) (273.69 PiB)
||129 (1.29%) (232.27 PiB)
||121 (1.21%) (217.87 PiB)
In my opinion, most of this storage was paid for, setup and ready for advanced plotters to fill them on day one or brought on as needed. 9,000PiB is a huge amount of storage.
I think that at this point whales are continuing to expand as fast as they can, but hope that they too will be subject to supply issues and have to slow their expansion.
I agree with the above comment suggesting a slower ride from 20-30EiB and a slower and more linear progression going forward from there.
If the expansion continues at anywhere near recent rates then small farmers are doomed, pools or not.
I recently worked my numbers and found that buying storage and NVMe to produce and store my plots is about $1.50 CAD for a K32. Using default settings, the advanced Chia calculator says that that plot should earn an average of $1.50 CAD in six months and estimates total network space of 150EiB !!!
I do not think we are going to hit 150EiB in six months so finally, it looks like the Advanced Chia calculator may be forecasting a bit conservatively. Then again, I don’t think I am going to see a six month return on my investment either.
Hopefully the growth will become sensible and soon …