I completely agree with @Aspy68 and others that Chia has a better chance of a long term genuine use case than most cryptos.
99% of coins were never designed to do anything other than hopefully moon and make its passengers rich. Chia was not only designed for a lot of real use cases, its designers make it clear that they are focused entirely on those use cases of the blockchain, and not on the mooning of its coin. The coin is secondary, and almost exists only to compensate the farmers for keeping the blockchain running.
But here is the interesting part: The fact that Chia has substance is a big reason why its coin DOESN’T moon like other cryptos. It’s NOT the other way around, as might seem intuitive. The LESS substance (intrinsic value) an asset has, the easier it is to manipulate, and the more likely it is to moon. Hypecoins moon. Stocks of internet companies that barely existed, and certainly would never make a profit, mooned back in the 1990s. Tulip bulbs mooned back in 1620-30s. They all have/had little or no substance, little or no intrinsic value.
Those seeking those kinds of vehicles should look elsewhere. The more substance Chia develops, the less volatile its coin, and the less chance of an exuberant moon ride.
Another reason is the presence of institutional actors who trade very differently, and who will often use their size to suppress price of an asset they are looking to accumulate.
And that is exactly what we have seen in in XCH in recent weeks: After the big pop in early November, half of which was quickly retraced, we’ve had deliberate and methodical price pressure by some big players for a several weeks. Probably an attempt to push price back down to the 130-136 range, where a lot of accumulation has seemed to take place. I talked about this many weeks ago in another thread.
As it turns out, that campaign MAY have just come to an end: The small pop we’ve seen the last hour up from 132 looks promising: It is a long way back up, with several significant resistance levels above, but as of now it looks like 132-133 would be a fine entry if we get back down there, with a stop below ~128.
But that’s based on charts and order books on a quiet Thanksgiving holiday Sunday. Much can happen the next 24 hours that will change this picture.
But even if XCH has bottomed, I still wouldn’t expect it to just moon, for the reasons I described above. It has substance. It’s NOT just a hot air balloon.